November 5

Recap for 05 Nov 2018

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Overall the afternoon was a waste of time again.   There were more or less just 2 windows for decent risk reward trades for range.  The first being at the open and getting short and the second being getting long after the washout.  Volume definitely felt off today so I had limited trades.   Pot names did make a run and bounce from last week’s lows.   Definitiely feels like everyone is playing wait and see.  No is ready to sell in fear of more lows but no one is ready to buy in fear of missing new highs.

AAPL

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Pre-market Notes

watching pops toward 208 for a short to break 205. We've seen this before where on Friday a ticker get supported above a level and then dumps on Monday. If 205 holds on a dip and we get some market strength, I might get long for a 210 retest and then get short. on 205 break 198-200 is my next target followed by 185

Recap

Unfortunately we didn't get a pop on the open for a nice short. The key was premarket break of 205 and it never looked back. It dropped right to 192. I ended up getting 202.50 puts for around 4.50 (late) which ended up peaking around 7 If I remember correctly. I did get long at 199 but didn't trust the bounce and got out for chump change. [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

TSLA

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Pre-market Notes

we might be at do or die time for getting through 350. If it can't I think we could see a restest of 330 level. 347s found sellers on Friday but 15 min does look like an ABCD setup for more highs that said. look at how tight the range got. we should be in for a strong move in either direction soon

Recap

Boom no pop to get short, but it dumped and bounced right off of 330. Nice bounce back into 340s. I still think 350+ can be coming be needs a little consolidation or risk on mentality [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

GE

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Pre-market Notes

mostly just watching because I'm facinated if GE will be saved. I think it needs a pop for some relief but it keeps dumping. This looks really really bad. I struggle to add or get short here because I could see a random rip of a buck or two out of nowhere happen.

Recap

popped early on CEO stock purchase news but couldn't trend. for now 9.30s seems to be an area of accumulaion. if that breaks another fast 60c to the downside coming imho. might be worth getting some long dated called for a 70c to 120c bounce soon. [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

AMRN

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Pre-market Notes

This is a strange one. it had the look of a sell off coming but it held and ripped back. I'm started to think more shorts got trapped

Recap

Tight consolidation around 23 again. Probably won't trade this unless there is a lot of call volume [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

ESPR

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Pre-market Notes

Was strong Friday and given the chart we might be looking at a breakout over 56 level into 60s

Recap

Nice dip into 54s and then run right into 60 [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

LOCO

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Pre-market Notes

nice run on Friday. totally missed it. look for a weak open with dips around 14.80-15 and if that holds get long for a push to retest 16 or push higher. I'm noticing some strength in restaurant names lately

Recap

didn't get much dip on this but did get a nice rally into 16 [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

SBUX

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Pre-market Notes

looking for a weak open and if it holds a push higher. That said, if it is strong in the morning and then stall, will go for the short

Recap

Given range in other names, There wasn't a good risk reward setup on this so no trade [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

WTW

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Pre-market Notes

this croaked harder and faster than I expected. hopefully get a ramp on the open over 50 toward 52 to get short for day 2 follow through for more lows OR dip and hold of 45 for a rip higher OR a hard fast dip on 40-41 and then push higher.

Recap

dips held 47 so didn't get the 45 wash I wanted and pushed right into the 50-52 area by end of day. There was a nice black box stocks twitter feed alert on WTW that yielded over 50% gains [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

RACE

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Pre-market Notes

missed but reaffirmed. Given market environment I might take a stab at shorting this for some selling into 105-110 area

Recap

I tried getting short on this in 117s but this basically didn't go anywhere. got out for at 50c loss jus so Ididn't have to look at it anymore. [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

SYY

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Pre-market Notes

missed top and bottom line. so far very low volume gap down on 20k shares. will need to see the volume after first hour and see if a trend develops. decent room for downside maybe 60-62. Given the low volume I'm not convinced this completely eats it. Might better for a bounce play.

Recap

Another trade setup like RACE that is more or less a victim of not enough volume to get a decent move in either direction [/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

AFTER HOURS ACTION

Overally I wasn’t impressed with the volume or action on anything and decided to get some sleep.  Once the elections are out of th way I think we’ll start getting some volume back into the market.

THIS POST AND ALL CONTENT ON THIS SITE REPRESENTS OPINIONS ONLY AND PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. CONTENT SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL A SECURITY. PLEASE SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL.


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